Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1.047693 1.216757 1.398080 1.606297 1.838050 2.087344 2.375027
2025-08-03 0.747396 0.979410 1.251250 1.589677 1.995915 2.464032 3.040164
2025-08-10 0.561142 0.823297 1.156223 1.600975 2.169735 2.862610 3.759407
2025-08-17 0.414057 0.678762 1.041872 1.559440 2.259589 3.154352 4.362396
2025-08-24 0.325117 0.590469 0.980659 1.569076 2.403679 3.513017 5.062402
2025-08-31 0.255381 0.513137 0.918383 1.562465 2.516112 3.828609 5.716608
2025-09-07 0.215448 0.473593 0.903750 1.618412 2.714668 4.266500 6.551763
2025-09-14 0.179832 0.432677 0.878817 1.652192 2.878538 4.660178 7.340486
2025-09-21 0.141987 0.377823 0.820724 1.623846 2.941999 4.908462 7.931199
2025-09-28 0.120123 0.349264 0.803292 1.658247 3.101748 5.301899 8.742586
2025-10-05 0.101883 0.323629 0.786623 1.690419 3.257417 5.693694 9.564239
2025-10-12 0.086901 0.301363 0.772507 1.724195 3.415643 6.094039 10.411095
2025-10-19 0.071689 0.274783 0.746949 1.736871 3.543607 6.460578 11.233862
2025-10-26 0.055197 0.238971 0.695835 1.695691 3.576254 6.678932 11.841870
2025-11-02 0.044554 0.215973 0.668645 1.697367 3.683013 7.020033 12.651880
2025-11-09 0.033507 0.186438 0.620168 1.649542 3.695527 7.205475 13.222439
2025-11-16 0.027107 0.169961 0.600084 1.657716 3.809899 7.562828 14.075849
2025-11-23 0.021345 0.152695 0.574284 1.649994 3.892512 7.868427 14.854487
2025-11-30 0.018573 0.146781 0.578029 1.708004 4.104323 8.402717 16.020960
2025-12-07 0.015589 0.138078 0.572160 1.743074 4.272574 8.866891 17.084987
2025-12-14 0.011728 0.121812 0.540360 1.713442 4.309300 9.100597 17.772673
2025-12-21 0.009808 0.114996 0.536109 1.749287 4.479987 9.577407 18.879745
2025-12-28 0.008153 0.108421 0.531223 1.782817 4.647262 10.053230 19.997245